Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia

← Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopediaeergisteren · 13 min

FLWS Stock: A $7M Refund, Almost No Earnings Cushion — Q4 FY2026

FLWS Stock: A $7M Refund, Almost No Earnings Cushion — Q4 FY2026eergisteren13 min

1-800-FLOWERS.COM (FLWS) Q4 FY2026 — FLWS traded at $2.955 in the September 10 intraday snapshot, down 15.33% from the September 9 close of $3.49. The snapshot is not a closing price.

A roughly $7M tariff refund helped gross profit, yet full-year adjusted EBITDA was only $2.9M. Inventory reductions supported operating cash, free cash flow remained negative, and management is evaluating debt, equity and asset sales. We follow the brands, central costs and financing terms to see what can reach existing shareholders.

THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$2.00 vs ~$2.955 today.

KEY METRICS:

- Q4 revenue $293.118M vs $336.622M, down 12.9% year over year

- Q4 GAAP diluted EPS -$0.82; adjusted diluted EPS -$0.80 vs -$0.69

- FY2026 adjusted EBITDA $2.930M vs $29.166M; approximately $7M Q4 tariff-refund gross-profit benefit

- FY2026 operating cash $18.308M includes $24.344M inventory release; capex $31.280M; FCF -$12.972M

- June 28 cash $11.366M; modeled net principal debt $127.634M, subject to annual-filing confirmation

- FY2027 outlook: mid-single-digit sales decline and $10–15M adjusted EBITDA

- Our base fair value $2.00, range $1.50–$2.50; Very High uncertainty; 64.098483M dated dual-class cover shares

What to watch: Reassess if order declines narrow below 5%, annual free cash flow turns positive with stable inventory, comparable corporate costs fall below $110M, and committed financing terms preserve a viable return for existing shareholders. These are our signposts, not issuer guidance.