USA and China Will Each Be BETRAYED By Their Own AIs — Adam Khoja, Center for AI Safety

Adam Khoja is a top AI forecaster who led the 2023 Center for AI Safety statement that shattered the Overton window on AI extinction risk. We cover his background, Mutual Assured AI Malfunction (MAIM), his new paper on AI betrayal, and whether Yudkowsky’s theoretical alignment research was a dead end.

Then Adam makes the case that an international AI slowdown is within reach today. All it takes is US and Chinese auditors inside each other’s AI labs. It worked for nuclear weapons, so why couldn’t it work for data centers?

Adam puts his P(Doom) at 40%, right next to my 50%. The real disagreement is how we get out of this: theory or empirics, MIRI or the labs. Enjoy the ride.

Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QqESBXuo6EI

Timestamps

00:00:00 — Cold Open

00:00:36 — Introducing Adam Khoja

00:02:45 — Leading the Statement on AI Risk as a Sophomore

00:10:17 — The Statement Leaked on Manifold

00:15:11 — Mutual Assured AI Malfunction (MAIM)

00:24:58 — Is Frontier AI Harder to Hide Than a Nuke?

00:32:09 — The AI Deterrence Escalation Ladder