#515 The Property Markets That Aren't Falling w. Louis Christopher

Everyone's calling it a crash. Louis Christopher runs SQM Research, one of Australia's biggest property data houses, and he says that word is wrong. What we're in is the largest downturn in 10 to 15 years, but the one ingredient every genuine housing crash has ever needed is missing here.

Louis breaks down where the market actually is, which cities are falling hardest, and which pockets are barely moving at all. We get into what the budget's tax changes are really doing to investor behaviour, why rents have stalled when everyone expected them to spike, and what he'd buy if he were putting money in today.

WHAT YOU'LL GET OUT OF IT

The difference between a correction and a crash, and why a 10% property fall hurts more than a 10% sharemarket fall

Why Australia isn't set up for a US or Ireland style collapse

The city by city forecasts for the rest of the year

What happened to rents after the negative gearing changes, and why the answer is more concerning than it looks

Which markets are holding up, and the ones carrying the most risk right now

How long this downturn runs, and what the long term growth rate looks like from here

Whether the 6.8% long term average still holds

CHAPTERS

00:00  Intro