132 - Abkhazia: Client or Catalyst?

Abkhazia stands at a critical juncture, caught between its historical dependence on Russia and the uncertain allure of reconciliation with Georgia. Long overshadowed by Moscow's influence, recent years have seen the territory's population increasingly frustrated with Russia's heavy-handed presence, just as Tbilisi tentatively begins exploring pathways to re-engagement. Could growing anti-Russian sentiment signal a geopolitical realignment in the South Caucasus? Will Abkhazia tilt back toward Georgia, upsetting decades of frozen conflict dynamics? And why, despite mounting tensions and economic costs, does Moscow remain committed to maintaining its grip on this disputed strip of Black Sea coastline? To unpack these questions and understand the future of Abkhazia, we turn to our panel of experts:

On the panel this week:

- Laura Linderman (Central Asia-Caucasus Institute)

- Beka Bajelidze (Institute for War and Peace)

- Thomas de Waal (Carnegie Europe)

Intro - 00:00

PART I - 03:49

PART II - 30:49

PART III - 1:00:15

Outro - 1:21:46

Follow the show on https://x.com/TheRedLinePod

Follow Michael on https://x.com/MikeHilliardAusSupport the show at: https://www.patreon.com/theredlinepodcast