Finding an edge in prediction markets | Netflix, market hate is an opportunity?

Can you find a real edge in prediction markets? Simon hunts the arbitrage — and calls Netflix cheap.

In this week's WorldWideMarkets:

• 🎲 Prediction markets: where's the edge, and where's the scam?

• 🇧🇷 The Brazil election "two-horse arbitrage" explained

• 📈 Betting SA's 2026 inflation print with a Bayesian model

• 🎬 Netflix halved — Simon says it's now cheap

• 📊 Stocks on the move: Bid Corp, Mr Price, OUTsurance, Vodacom, Absa, Gold Fields

CHAPTERS:

0:00 Introduction

1:20 Prediction markets: where's the edge?

4:35 The Brazil election arbitrage

8:05 Betting SA inflation with a Bayesian model