
← Chip Stock Investor Podcast29 sep · 16 min
Axon vs. Motorola: The Public Safety Stock Battle (MSI, AXON)
<p>Axon seems to come up in a lot of investing discussion, but its largest competitor often doesn't. Motorola is more than three times the size of Axon.</p><p>We've done a few videos on Axon, but never on its biggest competitor: Motorola Solutions (MSI). So this time we put them side by side, along with the wider public safety sector, because you shouldn't make a portfolio decision on either one without understanding the other.</p><p>Motorola is far bigger — $3.1B in quarterly revenue versus Axon's $904M — but growing slower at 13% year over year against Axon's 35%. </p><p>Motorola is the profitable, shareholder-friendly value name (nearly 26% operating margins, $326M in buybacks and $201M in dividends last quarter). Axon is the high-growth leader that barely makes money today and carries the uncertainty that comes with aggressive acquisitions and heavy stock-based comp.</p><p>We also get into why this is really a physical-AI story: both companies are pushing hard into drones — Axon with Skydio and Dedrone, Motorola with Brinc and its Defend Solutions acquisition — neither building the hardware themselves, both focused on the software that runs it. </p><p><br></p><p>We run a reverse DCF on each, including how we think about "normalizing" Axon's not-yet-real profitability, to see what growth each stock needs to justify today's price.</p><p><br></p><p>TIMESTAMPS<br>0:00 - Why Motorola Deserves a Look Before You Buy Axon<br>1:00 - Public Safety as a Physical AI Thesis (and the Flock Backlash)<br>2:00 - Drone Startups: Ondas, Red Cat, Unusual Machines<br>3:00 - Motorola vs. Axon: Size vs. Growth<br>3:40 - The Drone Push: Skydio, Brinc, and Software-First Strategy<br>6:00 - Margins and Profitability: Where Motorola Leads<br>7:30 - Motorola's Earnings Highlights and Segment KPIs<br>9:30 - Reverse DCF on Motorola: The Value Case<br>11:15 - Reverse DCF on Axon: Normalizing "Pretend Profitability"<br>13:30 - Final Take: Buy, Watch List, or a Public Safety Basket</p><p>—</p><p>If you want the reasoning behind more names like this one, Semiconductor Insider covers the process in more depth. Get access to all our research, weekly live Q&A events, and a growing set of tools to build your process: <a href="https://www.chipstockinvestor.com">https://www.chipstockinvestor.com</a></p><p>All our socials: <a href="https://linktr.ee/chipstockinvestor">https://linktr.ee/chipstockinvestor</a></p><p>If you're getting va