Macro Matters: Rabobank’s Lawrence on Rates and Global Markets

With global bond yields at multi-decade highs and markets pricing further central-bank tightening, investors are reassessing the relative value of rates, equities and currencies. Christian Lawrence, chief cross-asset strategist at Rabobank, joins Bloomberg Intelligence chief US interest rate strategist Ira Jersey to discuss that and more on this Macro Matters edition of the FICC Focus podcast. Lawrence argues that the recent surge in Treasury yields has been driven more by real rates and strong growth than by rising inflation expectations, and says the latest move increasingly resembles a pain trade that could partially reverse. The two discuss how higher yields are already weighing on market breadth beneath equity indexes, why large-cap companies with strong free cash flow may remain better positioned and how changing hedge ratios and interest-rate differentials are influencing the dollar. They also examine whether markets are pricing too many rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and other major central banks, the global trend toward looser fiscal policy and why relative-value trades may offer better opportunities than outright directional bets while volatility remains elevated.

The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series.