Tuesday: Cook Moves 18 Races, Is the House Gone?

On Tuesday, October 13, the House map is the story: is Cook Political Report spotting a real Democratic wave, or are the pundits just stampeding together?

Rush Lindell and Reagan dig into Cook's October 9 update, which moved eighteen races and now projects a Democratic gain of nine to nineteen seats, or 224 to 234 in the chamber.

Herd or math? Rush says raters copy each other. Reagan says the numbers and voter unhappiness do the work. The districts. They walk through the Iowa rematch, Pennsylvania, Michigan-10 and Virginia. The money. Republicans lead on cash, $89 million to $76 million, and on ad spending, yet Cook says it has not moved the needle so far. Jeffries. Is his claim that Democrats are on the verge of taking back control posturing, or does the range back him up?

Then each host picks the five seats that decide the House, and both grade their lists a B-plus. You decide who wins. Tell us which five seats you would pick.

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