#107 - Stop Doing Moon Boy Maths With Your Bitcoin Retirement

<p>I want Bitcoin to rocket as much as anyone. But after six years in this space, watching the price move nothing like the macro setup promised, I&#39;ve had to abandon moon boy maths completely. In this episode I walk through why hyper-bitcoinization isn&#39;t coming, why the total-addressable-market pitch for Bitcoin doesn&#39;t hold up against what gold has actually done, and two real frameworks for thinking about growth: what the best public companies in history have compounded at since their IPO, and what Bitcoin&#39;s own 200-week moving average says about its own trajectory. </p><p>Both point to the same place, a 20 to 30 percent compound annual growth rate over the next couple of decades, not the 50 to 60 percent the hopium crowd is still selling. </p><p>I also get into why I&#39;d rather borrow against my Bitcoin than sell it, and the tax trap in Australia that catches people who don&#39;t read the fine print on their loan terms. </p><p>There&#39;s a free calculator at whybitcoinshow.com if you want to run your own numbers against a realistic growth rate instead of a moon boy one.</p><p><br></p><p><em>Proudly sponsored by My Bitcoin Will: https://www.mybitcoinwill.com. </em></p><p><em>Get your </em><a href="https://mybitcoinwill.com/freediagnostic">⁠<em>FREE Bitcoin Inheritance Diagnostic</em>⁠</a><em> to see where your plan stands. Use code SOVEREIGNLIFEPOD at checkout for 10% off.</em></p><p><em>Need self-custody support or guidance? Book a discovery call with </em><a href="https://btcmentor.io/?fluent-booking=calendar&host=dale-1729696458">⁠<em>Bitcoin Mentor</em>⁠</a><em></em></p><p><em>Follow me on X at https://x.com/Dale21M and subscribe to the channel to stay up to date with the latest episode on all things personal sovereignty.</em></p>