Geopolitical Cousins

← Geopolitical Cousins24 Jul · 1 h 22 min

What We Got Wrong About The World Cup (A LOT)

What We Got Wrong About The World Cup (A LOT)24 Jul1 h 22 min

The cousins reconvene with the BCA brain trust - Juan Correa, Robert Tipper, and Jeremie Peloso - for the World Cup post-mortem. The model called all four semifinalists but missed champion Spain, so the crew litigates whether the winner's curse is dead, whether the GOAT variable was a methodological capitulation, and what Cape Verde, Norway, and Egypt say about the value of a center of gravity. Also on the docket: Trump's Balogun red-card intervention, the treatment of Iran's squad, a Paraguayan senator's meltdown, and why immigration keeps winning on the pitch.

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Timestamps:

(00:00) - Show Updates/Intro

(00:39) - World Cup Recap Setup

(02:02) - Guests And Agenda

(05:34) - How The Model Works

(11:21) - Winners Curse Debate

(15:39) - Messi GOAT Argument

(21:10) - Spain And Substitutions

(26:16) - Model Tweaks Next Time

(30:57) - World Cup Negatives