What's happened to those who voted Labour in 2024?

The latest episode of Never Mind The Bar Charts sees me discuss with polling expert Steve Akehurst what has happened to Labour's July 2024 vote.

We dive into the characteristics of those who voted for Starmer but are now flirting with Farage, as well as ask whether those folk are really the whole story.

Show notes

Getting to know ‘Reform curious Labour voters’ by Steve Akehurst.

What would make Labour defectors more positive about Labour?

The problems with polling averages.

Labour's problem is a Michael Barber not a Morgan McSweeney one.

Pollsters split over what's happened to Labour's 2024 vote: I have now done the crosstabs analysis we talk about on the show.

The County Durham by-election mentioned on the show.

Steve Akehurst on Bluesky.

Theme tune by Hugo Lee.

Downing Street street name sign: photo by PublicDomainPictures from Pixabay and used under the Pixabay license.