Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula - Preview & Prediction - 2026 US Open Semi Final

<p>Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula — full preview, head-to-head breakdown and prediction for the SEMIFINAL of the 2026 US Open. The third consecutive year these two have met in the second week at Flushing Meadows, and Pegula is still looking for the answer.</p><p><br></p><p>Aryna Sabalenka is chasing history. The World No. 1, top seed and TWO-TIME DEFENDING CHAMPION is into the US Open semifinals for a SIXTH STRAIGHT YEAR, still hunting a third consecutive title and her first major of 2026. She was pushed to the brink to get here, surviving Wimbledon champion Linda Noskova 7-6(1), 3-6, 7-6(7) in a quarterfinal that went to a deciding tiebreak, after earlier beating Taylor Townsend in straight sets.</p><p><br></p><p>Jessica Pegula is chasing something she has never had: a first Grand Slam title. The third seed leads the ENTIRE WTA TOUR with 34 hard-court wins this season and has 50 match wins overall in 2026, with titles in Dubai and Charleston, a run to the DC Open final in Washington and the Cincinnati final. She came through an all-American quarterfinal against Emma Navarro 3-6, 6-4, 6-3.</p><p><br></p><p>But New York keeps ending the same way. Sabalenka beat her in the 2024 US OPEN FINAL and again in last year&#39;s SEMIFINAL — and leads the overall head-to-head 9-4. Pegula has never beaten her at this tournament.</p><p><br></p><p>The encouraging news for the American: the recent form has flipped. Pegula has won two of their last three meetings, including 6-4, 6-7(4), 6-0 in the Berlin semifinals this season. She has the tools. She has never had them work here.</p><p><br></p><p>🎾 IN THIS VIDEO</p><p>- Why New York has been Pegula&#39;s blind spot against Sabalenka</p><p>- What changed in Berlin and whether it transfers</p><p>- Whether the Noskova escape exposed anything in Sabalenka&#39;s game</p><p>- Prediction, scoreline, and the final that follows</p><p><br></p><p>📊 MATCH INFO</p><p>Tournament: 2026 US Open (Grand Slam)</p><p>Round: Semifinal — Women&#39;s Singles</p><p>Players: Aryna Sabalenka (No. 1 seed, two-time defending champion) vs Jessica Pegula (USA, No. 3, 3rd seed)</p><p>Head-to-head: Sabalenka leads 9-4 — but Pegula has won 2 of the last 3</p><p>US Open history: Sabalenka won the 2024 final and the 2025 semifinal</p><p>Date: Thursday, September 10, 2026 — 7:00 PM ET, Arthur Ashe Stadium</p><p>Other semifinal: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina</p><p><br></p><p>💬 Sabalenka or Pegula? Predicted scoreline in the comments.</p><p>👍 Like if you want full US Open final coverage</p><p>🔔 SUBSCRIBE and turn on notifications for the rest of the 2026 US Open</p><p><br></p><p>- Mantis 10%: https://mantissport.com/qualityshot10 (At Checkout)</p><p>- IM8 10% OFF: https://im8.go2cloud.org/aff_c?offer_id=26&amp;aff_id=2077 (Code QST10 at Checkout)</p><p>- Acemate: https://www.acematetennis.com?sca_ref=11586466.udoQ3GLV6m55xoG1&amp;utm_source=uppromote&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=standard-affiliate-commission&amp;utm_content=affiliate-QualityShot-Tennis</p><p><br></p><p>---</p><p><br></p><p>Copyright Disclaimer: Under Section 107 of the Copyright Act 1976, allowance is made for &quot;fair use&quot; for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, and research. Fair use is a use permitted by copyright statute that might otherwise be infringing. Non-profit, educational or personal use tips the balance in favor of fair use and no copyright infringement is intended. No match footage is shown in these videos.</p><p><br></p><p>⚠️ Independent tennis analysis and commentary. Predictions are opinion only and not betting advice. Not affiliated with the USTA, the WTA or the US Open.</p><p><br></p><p>#Sabalenka #JessicaPegula #USOpen</p>