325. Harvard Business Review Writer: The Goal You Just Set Only Has a 34% Chance of Success | Kyle Austin Young

Most people think there are two ways to succeed: be talented, or get lucky — but there are two more no one talks about.

Kyle Austin Young is a strategy consultant and author of Success Is a Numbers Game, which outlines his probability hacking framework for achieving your goals. He's spent a decade using it with leaders and their organizations: mapping out what has to go right, removing risks, and stacking the odds in their favor.

In this episode, you will learn:

How to calculate the real odds on any goal you’re chasingThe averaging trap that leaves you blind to failureHow to find the real threats to your goalWhy "think positive" can lower your odds of successTwo paths to success most people never considerWhat to salvage when a goal falls apart

Topics discussed:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:47) #1 Predictor of Success

(01:56) The Success Diagram

(05:52) Get Good Advice

(07:53) Hired as a Director at 21

(12:01) Success Diagram for Hiring

(14:16) Four Paths to Success