Tom Nelson

← Tom Nelson28 Aug · 40 min

Dai Ato: “ Spurious Correlation Between Atmospheric CO2 Increase and Human Emissions” #424

Dai Ato: “ Spurious Correlation Between Atmospheric CO2 Increase and Human Emissions” #42428 Aug40 min

<p>Dai Ato presents findings from three papers arguing atmospheric CO2 rise is largely natural, claiming multivariate analyses reject human emissions as a significant predictor of annual CO2 increases while sea surface temperature (SST) is significant. He says detrended annual-change comparisons show emissions vs CO2 change has near-zero correlation, while SST retains moderate correlation, consistent with CO2 solubility in water. He also claims ice-core CO2 reconstructions are incorrect and that temperature leads specific humidity, rejecting CO2–water vapor positive feedback; absorbed shortwave and total solar irradiance correlate with SST while CO2 is negligible or negative. In Q&amp;A, he expects the Keeling Curve to keep rising, COVID emission drops to have little effect, and rejects a stable 280 ppm preindustrial CO2.</p><p><br></p><p>00:00 Intro And Agenda</p><p>00:39 Three Paper Overview</p><p>04:01 CO2 Rise Not Human</p><p>07:05 Detrending Spurious Links</p><p>10:33 Water Vapor Feedback Tested</p><p>13:19 Solar And Albedo Drivers</p><p>17:12 Past Evidence SST Leads</p><p>21:50 Global Temperature Averaging</p><p>23:58 Key Takeaways And DOE</p><p>26:04 Why I Wrote These Papers</p><p>33:06 Ice Core Reconstruction Issues</p><p>34:17 Closing Thoughts And Q&amp;A</p><p><br></p><p><a href="https://x.com/info45037254">https://x.com/info45037254</a></p><p>=========</p><p>Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: <a href="https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries">https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries</a></p><p>My Linktree: <a href="https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1">https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1</a></p>