Applied Materials Q3 2026 Earnings Analysis

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Groups: CHIPS (https://betafinch.com/groups/CHIPS)

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ALEX: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown, coming to you fresh off Applied Materials' fiscal third quarter 2026 report. I'm Alex, joined as always by Jordan. Before we dive in — this podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

JORDAN: And this was a big one, Alex. Applied Materials just posted the highest quarter-over-quarter revenue growth in company history.

ALEX: Let's start with the numbers. Q3 revenue came in at $9.1 billion — up 15% sequentially and 25% year-over-year. Non-GAAP gross margin hit 50.4%, and operating margin expanded to a record 34%. EPS was $3.50, up 41% year-over-year.

JORDAN: And it's not slowing down — Q4 guidance is $10.25 billion, plus or minus $500 million, which would be up 51% year-over-year. EPS guide of $4.02, up 85% year-over-year. Those are eye-popping growth rates for a company this size.

ALEX: The story here is really AI infrastructure. CEO Gary Dickerson framed it as two races happening at once: a race for technology leadership and a race for capacity. Chipmakers can't build fast enough to meet AI demand.

JORDAN: Right, and Applied's positioned right at the intersection — leading-edge foundry logic, DRAM, and advanced packaging. Management said those three areas represent roughly 80% of wafer fab equipment growth in both 2026 and 2027. DRAM revenue alone grew 52% year-over-year, and packaging revenue is now expected to grow more than 70% for the calendar year.

ALEX: What stood out to me was the visibility. CFO Brice Hill said some customers are now giving them rolling eight-quarter forecasts, and in some cases conversations stretching out to 2030.

JORDAN: That's unusual for this industry, which has historically been pretty cyclical and choppy. Longer-term agreements mean Applied can plan supply chain and manufacturing capacity with much more confidence. They're actually building toward doubling their quarterly system output by 2028.

ALEX: Doubling. That's a serious bet on sustained demand.