Episode 390: Private Credit: Risks, Opportunities and the Evolution of Capital

David Ross, Managing Director and Head of Private Credit at Northleaf, joins the InsuranceAUM Podcast to discuss the current state of private credit and how investors are navigating a market shaped by volatility, elevated base rates, changing capital flows and new risks associated with artificial intelligence. He explores why underlying portfolio performance remains resilient overall, where pockets of stress are emerging and how investors should evaluate returns on a loss-adjusted basis.

David also discusses how Northleaf is assessing AI risk across individual companies and industries, why diversification and selectivity remain critical, and how periods of market dislocation can create opportunities for patient capital. The conversation also examines the evolving relationship between insurers and private credit managers, including the growth of customized mandates, co-investments and bespoke capital partnerships.

Looking ahead to 2027, David shares why disciplined underwriting, active risk management and a focus on underlying company fundamentals will remain central to navigating the next phase of the private credit market.