The Gendered Labor Market Shift in August

August payrolls added 162,000 jobs while the unemployment rate held at 4.1 percent, but the headline number masks a structural divergence: women accounted for nearly all of those gains. Lucas and Luna dissect why the labor market is bifurcating by gender, exploring whether this reflects a recovery in female-dominated sectors like leisure and hospitality or a deeper shift in hiring preferences. With core PCE stuck above three percent and Fed Governor Waller signaling a hold in September, we examine what this uneven job creation means for real wages, consumer spending, and the central bank's next move.

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