
← The Mustard Seed Bitcoin Podcast19 ago · 54 min
Bitcoin’s Power Law Has Held for 10 Years. What Comes Next? | Sminston With
<p>Sminston With joins me to explain why Bitcoin’s power law has remained remarkably consistent and how PMI, liquidity, and AI may help explain Bitcoin’s current cycle. We also discuss what could invalidate the power law, the possibility of a $200K-$300K Bitcoin supercycle, and why accumulating 1 BTC is becoming increasingly difficult.</p><p><br></p><p>Timestamps:</p><p>0:00 Sminston’s background and journey to Bitcoin</p><p>5:30 Why power laws matter for Bitcoin</p><p>12:01 Why the power law may be more robust than stock-to-flow</p><p>16:14 Why Bitcoin follows a power law</p><p>19:45 PMI, business cycles, and Bitcoin volatility</p><p>24:19 Why Bitcoin and PMI are diverging</p><p>28:01 The PMI level that could ignite Bitcoin</p><p>32:33 Liquidity, AI, and the muted bull market</p><p>36:57 Could Bitcoin enter a supercycle?</p><p>40:13 What would break the Bitcoin power law?</p><p>44:06 How much Bitcoin do you need to retire?</p><p>51:02 Sminston’s new Bitcoin data platform</p>