Financial Forensics: The Due Diligence Files

← Financial Forensics: The Due Diligence Files8 okt · 11 min

Sumitomo 1996: A Hedge Netting to Zero │GP/LP - 3 Red Flags│File 170 T2

Sumitomo 1996: A Hedge Netting to Zero │GP/LP - 3 Red Flags│File 170 T28 okt11 min

<p></p><p><br></p><p><br></p><p>This episode is part of Financial Forensics Labs — two shows, one forensic methodology: The Due Diligence Files traces how institutions collapse, The Signal Files traces how the good calls get made. Built from primary-record research by a 15-year capital markets professional.</p><p>Get to know the framework, the other show, and the tools built from it — all in one place.</p><p>Explore </p><p><a href="https://www.financialforensicslabs.com.ar/">⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Financial Forensics Labs — Forensic Finance Intelligence⁠⁠⁠⁠</a></p><p>Sumitomo Copper Scandal 1996: the GP/LP institutional analysis of how a concealed loss becomes a corner, why the only way to recover a loss nobody knows about is a bigger position nobody knows about, and why a position only counts as a hedge if something real sits on the other side of it.</p><p><br></p><p>This is the deep-dive institutional layer of the Sumitomo Copper file. We break down the exact mechanism by which Yasuo Hamanaka, head of copper trading at Sumitomo Corporation, turned unauthorized losses hidden since 1985 into a position controlling 93% of the warrants on the London Metal Exchange by November 1995. The logic was fixed from the start: a loss that cannot be reported cannot be written off, so it can only be recovered, which requires a bigger position, which requires financing, which requires a story. The story was a commercial flow with a Zambian producer that gave the appearance of a large physical copper business and a justification for enormous futures positions as supposed hedges.</p><p><br></p><p>We isolate three pieces of arithmetic that anyone could have done with public data or with their own credit files. First, the warehouse arithmetic: in a market where spot copper trades above forward prices, metal normally leaves warehouses. In New York it did, while on the LME stocks kept arriving, especially at the new Long Beach warehouse. Second, the credit arithmetic: more than a dozen LME brokers had each extended roughly $150 million to the same client on the strength of the parent&#39;s name, on the order of $2 billion, before hundreds of millions more from large American banks. Each lender saw a normal-looking line, and only the sum was alarming. Third, the circular flow: add up the physical copper in the Zambian loop and net consumption at the end of every cycle is zero, yet the paperwork justified futures positions measured in millions of tonnes.</p><p><br></p><p>We connect the case t