Straight Outta Vegas AM

← Straight Outta Vegas AM8 sep · 35 min

NFL Props Podcast - Wednesday & Thursday Games !!

NFL Props Podcast - Wednesday & Thursday Games !!8 sep35 min

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk nfl props for this week first two games.

SleepyJ and Munaf Manji close out their Week One props coverage with two tight end plays built on very different foundations. Starting at 0:04, SleepyJ backs Hunter Henry over three or more receptions at minus 188, acknowledging the price is heavily juiced but explaining that New England is breaking in two new wide receivers, AJ Brown and Romeo Doubs, and does not expect instant chemistry, which should push the coaching staff and Drake Maye back toward proven concepts built around Hunter Henry. SleepyJ projects Henry could reach four or more catches but views three as an easy floor, calling him a big target with a ton of plays already in the playbook and arguing the new additions will not push him off the field, if anything helping open things up for AJ Brown and Romeo Doubs as defenses have to respect more options. He points to a Seattle pass rush he calls elite that should force plenty of third and medium situations Henry is well suited to convert, along with a Seattle defense that ranked twenty second last season against tight ends and has since lost multiple contributors from that group. Munaf Manji responds at 2:20 with the specific numbers, noting Henry drew five targets and finished with three receptions for 31 yards in last season's Super Bowl against Seattle, then adding his full regular season line of 87 targets, 60 receptions, 768 receiving yards and seven touchdowns, framing him as the reliable option Drake Maye can lean on for third down conversions and second and long situations as the receiver room adjusts to new additions, especially if the Patriots find themselves trailing. At 3:28, Munaf shifts to his own tight end prop, backing George Kittle under thirty eight and a half receiving yards for San Francisco, built entirely around workload management as Kittle returns from an Achilles injury and limited preseason snaps. Munaf expects Deebo Samuel and Christian McCaffrey to serve as the early offensive focal points while the 49ers ease Kittle back into a full role, projecting something like three catches for 30 yards in the opener despite Kittle's history as Brock Purdy's favorite target. He plans to check the actual snap count after the game to see how the workload played out, and suggests real value could open up on the over a few weeks into the season once Kittle is trusted with a bigger role. Together the two picks close the Cash That Ticket crew's full Week One props slate, leaning on Patriots continuity while new receivers get integrated and on 49ers caution around a star tight end still working back to full strength.

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