
← Deal Flow Friday10 Jul · 35 min
[Panel] Global Economic Headwinds & Its Impact on CRE: IMN - Newport RI
<p>In this episode of <strong>Deal Flow Friday</strong>, David Moghavem, Chief Investment Officer of Trion Properties, shares a live panel conversation from <strong>IMN’s Real Estate Private Funds Summer</strong> event in Newport, Rhode Island.<br>The panel, titled <strong>“Global Economic Headwinds: Industry Leaders Dissect Macro Trends Reshaping CRE Valuations,”</strong> brought together leaders across real estate investment management, hospitality, multifamily operations, and fund structuring to discuss how capital is being underwritten and deployed in a market where returns can no longer rely on falling rates or cap rate compression.<br>The conversation features Emi<a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/maikoadachi/"> Adachi</a>, Managing Director and Global Head of Investment Research at Heitman, <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/dougelsbeck/">Douglas J. Elsbeck</a>, Partner at King & Spalding, <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/uma-moriarity/">Uma Moriarity</a>, Senior Investment Strategist and Global Head of Sustainability at CenterSquare Investment Management, and <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/stephany-chen-6800031a/">Stephany Chen</a>, Head of Investor Relations at Trinity Investments.<br>Together, the panel breaks down how today’s higher-for-longer interest rate environment is reshaping underwriting, capital deployment, and investor expectations across real estate sectors. Uma explains why the valuation disconnect between public REIT markets, private appraisals, and transaction pricing continues to create friction in capital flows. With cap rate compression no longer driving returns, investors are being forced to focus on asset-level execution, durable cash flow, and hands-on management.<br>David brings the multifamily operator perspective, highlighting how inflation, shelter cost data, and renter stress are showing up differently on the ground than in headline numbers. He discusses the shift from cap stack distress to operational distress, with owners now paying closer attention to bad debt, delinquency, rent roll deterioration, deferred maintenance, and true day-one yield. In this environment, he argues that operators must go back to the basics: positive leverage, realistic rent assumptions, and disciplined underwriting.<br>Stephany offers the hospitality perspective, explaining why hotels can act as an inflation hedge through daily rate adjustments, while also emphasizing the importance of yield management, labor costs, diversifi