Top Safety Researchers Forecast Jobpocalypse & Doom — Adam Khoja & Richard Ren, Center for AI Safety

What happens when AI passes our tests faster than we create new ones? Adam Khoja and Richard Ren helped build Humanity’s Last Exam. They return to explain what the disappearing benchmarks tell us about the future, and why smarter AI doesn’t automatically mean safer AI.

Adam Khoja and Richard Ren are research engineers at the Center for AI Safety (CAIS).

We go through the benchmarks they’ve built — Humanity’s Last Exam, the Remote Labor Index, MASK — and the safety-washing problem, where AI companies pass off raw capability gains as safety progress. Then we get to their forecasts: when AI outperforms research mathematicians, whether there will be a billion general-purpose robots by 2035, and why they put 80% odds that historians will judge we faced at least a 33% chance of catastrophe.

Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gBPzgJkT9e8

Timestamps

00:00:00 — Cold Open

00:00:42 — Adam Khoja and Richard Ren Return

00:04:57 — Humanity’s Last Exam

00:14:47 — AI Outrunning Its Benchmarks

00:20:24 — The Remote Labor Index

00:27:59 — AI and the Next Human Job

00:30:08 — MASK: Catching AI in a Lie