The Bitcoin Layer

← The Bitcoin Layer2 days ago · 12 min

Nobody Has Ever Lost Money Holding Bitcoin Six Years

Nobody Has Ever Lost Money Holding Bitcoin Six Years2 days ago12 min

In this episode, Nik explains what he thinks is the easiest way to introduce bitcoin to new investors, which comes down to returns. He compares bitcoin against stocks, bonds, and gold across three, five, seven, and ten year windows, showing where bitcoin trails and where it separates, including the five year stretch where gold and stocks both beat it. Nik then walks through the HODL Cave, which plots returns by holding period and shows that nobody who has held bitcoin for six years has ever lost money, with median returns climbing above 100x at ten years. He closes on why he expects forward returns in the 30s rather than the 60s.