The Fed's Rate Hike Dilemma

With the ten-year Treasury yield climbing above four point nine percent and core PCE stubbornly above three percent, the Federal Reserve faces a critical decision in September 2026. Lucas and Luna break down why the labor market’s quiet rigidity and rising inflation expectations are pushing the FOMC toward a potential rate hike. We examine the specific mechanics of the Fed Funds effective rate at 3.63 percent and what a move higher means for your wallet, mortgages, and the broader economy.

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